Athletics betting can be extremely lucrative if an individual Realize Often the strategies typically the “smart money” gamblers work with to continually make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that wise money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to be able to Betting.

เว็บบอล Here’s a ideal case in point. I analyzed this West Va vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Florida had the particular edge in the sport. Nevertheless , I also came to the realization that there was a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not gamble on this particular game. Here is my own analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Virginia or Louisville

This sport features all the indicators of being one involving the ideal games of the year, using equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, along with West Virginia coming back again from staying down big in the 4th 1 fourth to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport appearance like this year?

When this activity were as played from a natural field, West Florida would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented throw. That they haven’t lost since July. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to California Tech. On the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 STREET games.

These are some very extraordinary stats that tilt this scales in favor regarding WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, the added reward is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like much, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that special point will certainly make the big difference between a new push and even a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are almost as good while WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own past 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home games.

And if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since Dec 17, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. some points for every game at home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. 7 points for every game from home. In case you decided not to do the math, that means considering their own last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their particular opponents by simply about 34 things per game.

Even greater amazing, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten often the divide, on average, by simply 13 factors per activity at home since 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s the way…

Many of those stats had been accumulated during the 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They are yet to possessed recent games where they also have only scored 35, 3, 24 points. These types of games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. They were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The bottom line is of which this is still a close game to call up. Although the things i look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s simply no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice is to lay off that game and definitely not gamble at all. There happen to be better video games this weekend with more simple rewards.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to gain a good punt for a TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big they will may possibly still win soon after generating so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on that sport, people severe with regards to sports betting saved money these people can put to better apply on coming games.