Sports gambling is often very profitable if a person know the secrets and techniques typically the “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make money. The most significant secrets that smart money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a ideal instance. My partner and i analyzed the particular Western California vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West Va had often the edge in the video game. Yet , j-days.com understood that there were a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not gamble on this kind of game. Here is my own analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Va vs . Louisville

This video game features all the signals of being one of the most effective games associated with the year, with both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, along with West Virginia coming back from staying down big in the independence day quarter to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?

When this match were appearing played from a simple field, West Las vegas would certainly probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since this game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented throw. They will haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. On the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROUTE games.

All these are some very outstanding stats that tilt this scales in favor of WVU regarding tonight’s game. Plus, typically the included reward is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This may not appear like quite a bit, but in a in close proximity match-up like this, that extra point will make the big difference between a push plus a loss.

But you may be wondering what about Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular final 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.

And even if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at home since 12 17, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. four points each game in your house, while hitting only giving up 15. 8 points for every game in home. In case an individual don’t do the mathematics, that means considering their particular last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their opposing team simply by about thirty four factors per game.

In addition outstanding, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten this range, on average, simply by 13 factors per video game at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Almost all of those stats ended up built up during the 2004 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They’ve got recent games in which they have already only scored twenty-eight, 12, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. That they had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

The end result is that this is still a good close activity to call. Although what I look regarding is West Virginia’s defense to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s zero cause to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest advice is usually to lay off this game and not bet at all. There usually are better games this weekend with more simple benefits.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty-four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to give back some sort of punt for a TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big which they could very well still win immediately after doing so many mistakes. By not betting on this particular activity, people critical with regards to sports betting saved money they can put to better work with on coming games.