Sports playing is often very profitable if anyone know the tricks this “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make income. One of the biggest secrets that sensible money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a great instance. We analyzed the particular Rest of the world Florida vs. Louisville match, and concluded the fact that West Florida had the particular edge in the video game. Yet , My spouse and i also recognized that there were a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not gamble on that game. Here is my personal analysis I released before the game:

West Florida vs . Louisville

This online game provides all the symptoms of being one connected with the greatest games involving the year, having equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, along with Western side Virginia coming backside from appearing down massive in the final fraction to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the game seem like this year?

When this game were being played at some sort of natural field, West Virginia will probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since typically the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented rotate. Many people haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they missing to Virginia Tech. Inside the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU with regard to tonight’s online. Plus, the added in benefit is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This might not seem to be like much, but in a near match-up like this, that excess point might make the distinction between a good push and a loss.

But you may be wondering what about Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home video games.

In addition to if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since 12 16, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. some points for each game at home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. six points for each game with home. In case an individual didn’t do the mathematics, that means considering that their own last home damage they have already averaged beating their particular opposing team by means of about thirty four items per game.

Even greater amazing, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten often the divide, on average, by 13 points per video game at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can www.ufabet168.info/%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%97%E0%B8%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%A5%E0%B8%AA%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%95%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9B/ go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Most of those stats ended up developed during the june 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They have already had recent games by which they have already only scored 35, twenty three, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Iowa E. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

The bottom line is the fact that this is still a good close match to call. Nevertheless what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s zero cause to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to core 20’s. My honest recommendation can be to lay off this game and not bet at all. There usually are better video games this weekend with more simple advantages.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty-four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to gain a good punt for some sort of TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s border was not so big they could very well still win following producing so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on that activity, people really serious with regards to gambling saved money these people can offer better apply on forthcoming games.