Sports wagering can be extremely profitable if anyone know the techniques typically the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make money. Most significant secrets that clever money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a ideal example of this. We analyzed often the Western California vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West Va had the particular edge in the video game. Yet , We also understood that there was a whole lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not guarantee on that game. Here is my own analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Las vegas vs . Louisville

This game has all the signals of being one associated with the best games associated with the year, along with both equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, each having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, along with Western side Virginia coming rear from being down big in the next 1 fourth to winning within overtime.

So what’s the action seem like this year?

When this activity were appearing played on a new natural field, West Florida might probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the particular game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if Be a Bookie will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented roll. They will haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. Inside the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 PATH games.

These kinds of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor connected with WVU for tonight’s gaming. Plus, this extra bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This might not look like much, but in a in close proximity match-up this way, that special point will make the distinction between a new push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are really almost as good because WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home game titles.

And if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since December eighteen, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points for each game in your house, while averaging only stopping 15. six points for each game on home. In case anyone don’t do the figures, that means given that their very own last home loss they already have averaged beating their very own opposing team by simply about thirty four items per game.

In addition outstanding, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the particular pass on, on average, by way of 13 items per online game at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s how…

Nearly all of those stats had been established during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They also have had recent games by which they also have only scored 28, 12, 24 points. That online games weren’t against Ohio Street. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

In essence of which this is still a new close match to call. Although what I look for is West Virginia’s security to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s simply no reason to think WVU can’t have one to the low to core 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off this specific game and not gamble at all. There usually are better game titles this weekend break with more simple rewards.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty-four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for some sort of TD. The results was that West Virginia’s edge had not been so big they could still win after making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular sport, people severe regarding sports betting saved money that they can offer better use on approaching games.