Sports gambling can be extremely profitable if you know the strategies often the “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make dollars. One of the biggest secrets that wise money bettors use can be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a ideal instance. My partner and i analyzed typically the West Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that will West Florida had often the edge in the activity. Nonetheless I also understood that there are a lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not bet on this specific game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This video game provides all the indicators of being one of the greatest games of the year, along with the two teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, each having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, with Western side Virginia coming rear from being down massive in the fourth quarter to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the action appear like this year?

When this sport were as played from a basic field, West Las vegas will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. They will haven’t lost since April. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. Inside the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROAD games.

These kind of are some very impressive stats that tilt often the scales in favor connected with WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, the particular added in reward is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like very much, but in a near match-up this way, that spare point might make the difference between a good push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are generally almost as good while WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their final 10 home game titles.

And even if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at home since January 20, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points for every game in your own home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. 8 points per game on home. In case you decided not to do the figures, that means given that their last home decline they have already averaged beating their very own oppositions by way of about 34 things per game.

What’s more outstanding, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the get spread around, on average, by simply 13 details per video game at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

ufabet of those stats ended up established during the june 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They already have got recent games by which they are yet to only scored 35, 3, 24 points. These video games weren’t against Kentkucky St. or Michigan. They will were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The bottom line is that will this is still a close sport to call. Nonetheless what I look intended for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s no factor to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to core 20’s. My honest endorsement is usually to lay off that game and certainly not wager at all. There are usually better games this weekend break with more clear-cut advantages.

The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to come back a new punt for a TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s border has not been so big that they can could very well still win after producing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this kind of video game, people really serious regarding wagering saved money these people can offer better employ on forthcoming games.