Sports wagering can be very profitable if an individual know the secrets typically the “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make funds. One of the biggest secrets that sensible money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a best illustration. We analyzed typically the West Virginia vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West Florida had the edge in the sport. Yet , I actually also noticed that there were a great deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guarantee on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Va or Louisville

This game features all the symptoms of being one involving the ideal games regarding the year, having both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with Western Virginia coming rear from staying down big in the independence day 1 fourth to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport look like this year?

In case this game were getting played on a good simple field, West California would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented spin. They will haven’t lost given that Jan. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they dropped to Virginia Tech. In the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS too. ufabet เข้าสู่ระบบทางเข้า -2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

These are some very amazing stats that tilt the particular scales in favor of WVU regarding tonight’s game. Plus, the included bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like very much, but in a in close proximity match-up like this, that excess point could make the change between a good push and even a loss.

But you may be wondering what about Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are usually almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their final 10 home video games.

In addition to if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your own home since December 16, 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points for every game in the home, while averaging only stopping 15. 8 points for each game on home. In case you don’t do the math, that means considering that their particular last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their opponents simply by about 34 things per game.

Even greater remarkable, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten this divide, on average, simply by 13 points per video game at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s how…

Nearly all of those stats ended up piled up during the june 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They have already possessed recent games through which they’ve only scored 28, 12, 24 points. And the games weren’t against Oh Street. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The bottom line is that will this is still a new close activity to call up. Although what I look to get is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s virtually no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off this particular game and certainly not wager at all. There usually are better games this saturday and sunday with more simple positive aspects.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for a new TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s edge wasn’t so big they will may possibly still win right after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on that game, people really serious about gambling saved money that they can put to better apply on future games.