Sports bets are often very profitable if an individual know the secrets and techniques the particular “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make cash. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a great illustration. My partner and i analyzed the Western Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded the fact that West California had often the edge in the video game. Yet , We also came to the realization that there were a great deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not wager on this specific game. Here is our analysis I released just before the game:

West Florida vs . Louisville

This sport has all the symptoms of being one involving the most effective games regarding the year, having equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using West Virginia coming back from being down huge in the final quarter to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport search like this year?

In the event that this sport were appearing played with a simple field, West Virginia would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since this game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. In the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 HIGHWAY games.

All these are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor connected with WVU to get tonight’s games. Plus, the particular added in added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem to be like much, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that special point will certainly make the change between a push plus a loss.

But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are really almost as good because WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home activities.

And if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in the home since December 18, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points every game in your house, while hitting only quitting 15. 7 points for each game on home. In case an individual did not do the mathematics, that means since their own last home loss they also have averaged beating his or her opponents by simply about 34 items per game.

What’s more outstanding, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by 13 things per sport at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Nearly all of those stats were being accumulated during the july 2004 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They are yet to got recent games through which they already have only scored twenty eight, twenty three, 24 points. UFABET เข้าสู่ระบบทางเข้า of game titles weren’t against Kentkucky Stycken. or Michigan. That they were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

Basically that will this is still a good close video game to call. Nevertheless the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s zero cause to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice will be to lay off that game and not really bet at all. There are better video games this saturday and sunday with more simple positive aspects.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to gain the punt for a new TD. The results was that West Virginia’s fringe wasn’t so big that they could still win following doing so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this video game, people really serious concerning sports betting saved money these people can put to better apply on future games.