Sports playing is often very profitable if you know the techniques often the “smart money” bettors use to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that sensible money bettors use is knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a ideal example of this. I analyzed the particular West California vs. Louisville sport, and concluded of which West Las vegas had the edge in the match. However , We also recognized that there have been a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not bet on that game. Here is my own analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Virginia versus Louisville

This activity provides all the signs of being one involving the best games regarding the year, along with equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, together with Western side Virginia coming back from staying down big in the independence day fraction to winning in overtime.

So what’s the overall game seem like this year?

In the event this game were appearing played with a good basic field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented rotate. They haven’t lost considering that July. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. Inside the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

These kinds of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor regarding WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, the added in reward is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like much, but in a near match-up this way, that special point might make the variation between a good push in addition to a loss.

But what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s stats may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In ufabet168.info/%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%97%E0%B8%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%A5%E0%B8%AA%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%95%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9B , Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home activities.

And if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your house since 12 , 16, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points for every game in your own home, while averaging only quitting 15. 7 points for every game from home. In case an individual decided not to do the mathematics, that means considering that their last home decline they are yet to averaged beating their competitors by way of about 34 points per game.

Even greater extraordinary, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the divide, on average, by simply 13 items per game at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s the way…

Most of those stats ended up piled up during the june 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They’ve got recent games through which they are yet to only scored twenty-eight, twenty three, 24 points. That games weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. That they had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

To put it succinctly the fact that this is still some sort of close game to get in touch with. Although the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s not any factor to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to core 20’s. My honest endorsement is to lay off this specific game and not necessarily gamble at all. There are better video games this weekend break with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back some sort of punt for a TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s advantage was not so big that they can still win following generating so many mistakes. By not betting on that video game, people critical about sports betting saved money they can offer better work with on forthcoming games.