Sports playing are often very profitable if you know the techniques typically the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that intelligent money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a perfect example. I actually analyzed the Western side Virginia vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West California had the edge in the match. Yet , We also noticed that there have been a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not guarantee on this specific game. Here is our analysis I released just before the game:

West Va vs . Louisville

This sport provides all the indications of being one connected with the ideal games regarding the year, using the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, having West Virginia coming again from getting down big in the next one fourth to winning around overtime.

So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?

In case this video game were getting played with a good basic field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented spin. They haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they lost to Las vegas Tech. Through the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 ROUTE games.

All these are some very outstanding stats that tilt typically the scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, the particular added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like substantially, but in a shut match-up this way, that special point will certainly make the change between some sort of push plus a loss.

But what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their very own last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their last 10 home game titles.

Together with if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at home since 12 , eighteen, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points each game in your own home, while hitting only stopping 15. six points each game at home. In case an individual didn’t do the mathematics, that means due to the fact their very own last home decline they are yet to averaged beating their competitors by way of about thirty four things per game.

Furthermore outstanding, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten this divide, on average, by simply 13 items per online game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

Almost all of those stats have been established during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They already have got recent games that has they have already only scored twenty eight, 12, 24 points. That video games weren’t against Iowa Saint. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

The end result is of which this is still the close game to get in touch with. But the things i look for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the moment. If www.ufabet.academy , Syracuse, and Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s simply no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to this low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion is usually to lay off this kind of game and not necessarily wager at all. There will be better game titles this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to come back a new punt for a good TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s border had not been so big they will could very well still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. By not betting on this activity, people serious with regards to wagering saved money these people can offer better make use of on approaching games.